Building a home is one of the most significant projects you can undertake, whether you're a seasoned builder or a first-time homeowner.
But with material prices and labor costs constantly shifting, how do you plan a budget you can stick to? To avoid unexpected expenses and make informed decisions, it's crucial to understand the forces driving construction costs. This guide will walk you through the key trends and factors, empowering you to build with confidence.
Before we discuss the trends influencing construction costs, let's look at the primary cost components you should account for when budgeting for a new house.
Understanding these cost centers helps home builders budget more effectively and prepare for the financial commitment required to build their dream home.
In 2026, global and domestic economic factors will continue to influence construction material prices. Labor shortages, rising costs for materials such as lumber, gypsum, and steel, and shifts in demand will all play a role in budgeting future home building projects.
Many construction material prices have increased over the last year; specifically, the cost of imported materials. While prices are expected to continue rising, the industry is still seeing the same issues as the previous year, notably due to trade issues and labor shortages.
Uncertainty remains a defining characteristic of the construction industry. Material price volatility complicates project budgeting and financial forecasting, so keep these materials in mind when planning your building project.
The construction industry as a whole also faces uncertainty, specifically due to labor demand and costs. In 2025, 20% of subcontractors lost construction workers. This was largely due to a retiring workforce and less skilled labor among younger workers. As a result, construction employment will only increase by 0.3% in 2026.
Smaller crews don’t only equal higher costs, but potential construction delays. Builders should keep this in mind when planning a project.
Technology is also another key factor to budget for. Modern construction companies not only desire skilled labor but also demand workers that are experienced with technology like AI-based scheduling and project management software. This requires a hefty investment from subcontractors, and those fees will extend to the consumer.
Looking ahead to 2026, there are other predictions that will impact the overall cost and volume of construction projects. Here are some of the biggest predictions for next year.
In 2025, the Federal Reserve made three interest rates cut. For 2026, it’s anticipated there will be at least one more interest rate cut. Because of this, the housing market is expected to make a comeback after years of dealing with high interest rates—specifically, a 14% increase in home sales nationwide.
For home buyers who want to build their home, that means more demand from residential construction companies. This can cause a ripple effect, resulting in the additional problems we will discuss below.
As stated throughout this article, many of the most common building materials are imported from other countries. Since the U.S. is placing tariffs on several countries where these materials are procured, this will result in higher prices. For example, steel, aluminum, and copper all faced 50% tariffs.
Tariffs rose in 2025, but in 2026, there is a lot of uncertainty surrounding tariffs in building products. Because of aggressive trading policies, tariffs are still expected to increase building costs and delay projects for the next year. That said, construction is set to moderately expand in 2026, with nonresidential construction expected to grow by 3%.
One of the biggest reasons for construction price increases is a waning workforce. With many construction workers facing retirement, the industry is struggling to attract new workers.
To remain competitive, many construction companies are offering higher wages and expanded benefits. As a result, this will drive project costs even higher.
Rising prices and hesitant buyers are not encouraging for the construction industry, but the news isn't all bad. In spite of relatively expensive construction costs, demand for new homes is strong, driven by factors such as a housing shortage in many areas, remote work trends, and demographic shifts. Many people are now looking for homes that accommodate home offices and offer more living space.
Homebuyers are also increasingly looking for properties that incorporate sustainable materials and energy-saving technologies. This demand for eco-friendly homes allows contractors who embrace green building to stand out from competitors, capturing a growing segment of environmentally conscious consumers.
The construction business and people looking to build their own house will face challenges in 2026, including rising material costs and labor shortages. However, interest rates are expected to decrease and demand for builders, general contractors, and tradespeople is surging.